Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
SPS COMMERCE INC
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-51.9% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-46.4% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-28.5% vs price
◇ = Current price | | Bear | Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $42.92 | -47.2% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $53.39 | -34.4% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $62.95 | -22.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $35.32 | -56.6% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $43.62 | -46.4% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $112.72 | 38.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $35.23 | -56.7% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 7 methods, SPSC appears overvalued at the current price of $81.35. The base case fair value of $43.62 implies 46.4% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.