STAG Industrial, Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-51.3% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-41.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-6.0% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $10.93 | -70.3% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $19.33 | -47.5% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $17.44 | -52.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $23.67 | -35.7% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $38.25 | 3.9% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $47.34 | 28.6% | Medium (20%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, STAG appears overvalued at the current price of $36.80. The base case fair value of $21.50 implies 41.6% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.