Steel Dynamics, Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-56.1% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-50.3% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-47.2% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $34.05 | -86.8% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $195.39 | -24.3% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $128.26 | -50.3% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $122.64 | -52.5% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $143.05 | -44.6% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $129.30 | -49.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $103.88 | -59.8% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, STLD appears overvalued at the current price of $258.16. The base case fair value of $128.26 implies 50.3% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.