TransDigm Group Incorporated
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-53.3% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-47.5% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-39.1% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-795.87 | -164.3% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $637.70 | -48.5% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $883.39 | -28.6% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $784.88 | -36.6% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $662.20 | -46.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $557.99 | -54.9% | High (70%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, TDG appears overvalued at the current price of $1237.82. The base case fair value of $649.95 implies 47.5% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.