Triumph Financial, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-81.2% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-65.1% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-51.7% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $4.79 | -93.8% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $17.90 | -77.0% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $40.86 | -47.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $36.44 | -53.2% | High (80%) |
Based on 4 out of 8 methods, TFIN appears overvalued at the current price of $77.78. The base case fair value of $27.17 implies 65.1% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.