TFS Financial Corporation
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-95.1% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-73.4% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-68.3% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-9.68 | -155.9% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $4.36 | -74.8% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $4.85 | -72.0% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $7.42 | -57.1% | High (80%) |
Based on 4 out of 8 methods, TFSL appears overvalued at the current price of $17.31. The base case fair value of $4.60 implies 73.4% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.