Target Hospitality Corp.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-87.1% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-67.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-31.3% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-1.14 | -106.7% | High (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $5.52 | -67.6% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $17.89 | 5.0% | Medium (20%) |
Based on 3 out of 8 methods, TH appears overvalued at the current price of $17.04. The base case fair value of $5.52 implies 67.6% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.