The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-7.5% vs price
Base Case (Median)
5.3% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
117.6% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $173.21 | -22.0% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $251.71 | 13.3% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $1178.27 | 430.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $216.14 | -2.7% | High (80%) |
Based on 4 out of 8 methods, THG appears fairly valued at the current price of $222.10. The base case fair value of $233.92 implies 5.3% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.