Toll Brothers, Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-1.3% vs price
Base Case (Median)
29.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
69.7% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $16.51 | -88.6% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $248.11 | 70.6% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $851.75 | 485.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $157.66 | 8.4% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $188.55 | 29.6% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $245.60 | 68.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $129.40 | -11.0% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, TOL appears fairly valued at the current price of $145.45. The base case fair value of $188.55 implies 29.6% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.