Toast, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-82.6% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-76.7% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-42.4% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $4.87 | -85.8% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $19.77 | -42.4% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $64.43 | 87.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $8.00 | -76.7% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $7.10 | -79.3% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $19.79 | -42.3% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $2.73 | -92.1% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, TOST appears overvalued at the current price of $34.32. The base case fair value of $8.00 implies 76.7% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.