Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
Turning Point Brands, Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-34.7% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-23.7% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-0.4% vs price
◇ = Current price | | Bear | Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $59.86 | 7.6% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $42.45 | -23.7% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $56.84 | 2.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $31.18 | -44.0% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $53.96 | -3.0% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $15.41 | -72.3% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $41.55 | -25.3% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 7 methods, TPB appears overvalued at the current price of $55.64. The base case fair value of $42.45 implies 23.7% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.