Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
TREX CO INC
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-64.6% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-55.0% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-30.2% vs price
◇ = Current price | | Bear | Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $0.19 | -99.6% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $29.94 | -31.3% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $16.64 | -61.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $19.61 | -55.0% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $30.88 | -29.1% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $40.18 | -7.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $14.21 | -67.4% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 7 methods, TREX appears overvalued at the current price of $43.56. The base case fair value of $19.61 implies 55.0% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.