Trinity Industries, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
93.8% vs price
Base Case (Median)
231.1% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
416.5% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $243.70 | 715.9% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $81.26 | 172.0% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $166.85 | 458.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $35.26 | 18.0% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $116.57 | 290.3% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $50.09 | 67.7% | High (70%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, TRN appears undervalued at the current price of $29.87. The base case fair value of $98.91 implies 231.1% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.