Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
TWILIO INC
High uncertainty: The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-95.5% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-82.2% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-55.8% vs price
◇ = Current price | | Bear | Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $13.15 | -95.5% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $184.46 | -37.2% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $91.07 | -69.0% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $13.78 | -95.3% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $142.63 | -51.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $3.04 | -99.0% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 7 methods, TWLO appears overvalued at the current price of $293.81. The base case fair value of $52.43 implies 82.2% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.