Ternium S.A.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-60.2% vs price
Base Case (Median)
18.0% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
29.5% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $7.57 | -86.1% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $64.13 | 18.0% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $70.40 | 29.5% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $72.33 | 33.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $21.64 | -60.2% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 5 out of 8 methods, TX appears fairly valued at the current price of $54.35. The base case fair value of $64.13 implies 18.0% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.