UGI Corporation
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-111.3% vs price
Base Case (Median)
10.2% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
43.5% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-60.06 | -271.2% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $44.75 | 27.5% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $55.96 | 59.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $38.67 | 10.2% | Medium (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $77.88 | 121.9% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $17.40 | -50.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $-25.36 | -172.3% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, UGI appears fairly valued at the current price of $35.09. The base case fair value of $38.67 implies 10.2% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.