Ubiquiti Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-88.0% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-75.7% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-45.4% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $49.16 | -91.6% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $394.44 | -32.4% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $389.97 | -33.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $62.20 | -89.3% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $141.90 | -75.7% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $247.94 | -57.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $78.18 | -86.6% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, UI appears overvalued at the current price of $583.67. The base case fair value of $141.90 implies 75.7% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.