Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
Ulta Beauty, Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-22.7% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-9.1% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
6.6% vs price
◇ = Current price | | Bear | Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $641.17 | 17.9% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $518.04 | -4.7% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $644.14 | 18.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $200.77 | -63.1% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $384.67 | -29.2% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $494.27 | -9.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $456.27 | -16.1% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 7 methods, ULTA appears fairly valued at the current price of $543.69. The base case fair value of $494.27 implies 9.1% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.