Ulta Beauty, Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-32.3% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-11.4% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-1.9% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $258.55 | -47.6% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $500.72 | 1.5% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $623.16 | 26.3% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $193.73 | -60.7% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $408.94 | -17.1% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $467.50 | -5.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $437.07 | -11.4% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, ULTA appears overvalued at the current price of $493.33. The base case fair value of $437.07 implies 11.4% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.