UMB Financial Corporation
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-26.5% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-6.8% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-1.1% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $32.48 | -78.6% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $145.27 | -4.4% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $138.09 | -9.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $165.48 | 8.9% | High (80%) |
Based on 4 out of 8 methods, UMBF appears overvalued at the current price of $151.95. The base case fair value of $141.68 implies 6.8% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.