UMH Properties, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-80.1% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-64.7% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-55.4% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-7.94 | -148.0% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $2.69 | -83.8% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $5.12 | -69.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $6.57 | -60.3% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $14.41 | -13.0% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $7.65 | -53.8% | Medium (20%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, UMH appears overvalued at the current price of $16.56. The base case fair value of $5.84 implies 64.7% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.