Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
UNION PACIFIC CORP
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-54.7% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-41.7% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-27.6% vs price
◇ = Current price | | Bear | Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $300.63 | 5.7% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $238.23 | -16.2% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $92.25 | -67.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $93.03 | -67.3% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $164.71 | -42.1% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $165.86 | -41.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $173.67 | -38.9% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 7 methods, UNP appears overvalued at the current price of $284.40. The base case fair value of $165.86 implies 41.7% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.