Upbound Group, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
53.7% vs price
Base Case (Median)
206.4% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
838.3% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $238.37 | 1127.5% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $39.04 | 101.0% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $59.51 | 206.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $20.66 | 6.4% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $307.34 | 1482.6% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $126.05 | 549.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $6.64 | -65.8% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, UPBD appears undervalued at the current price of $19.42. The base case fair value of $59.51 implies 206.4% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.