Urban Outfitters, Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-26.5% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-18.8% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
16.1% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-26.58 | -134.7% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $97.59 | 27.3% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $243.61 | 217.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $60.43 | -21.1% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $80.43 | 4.9% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $62.20 | -18.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $52.16 | -31.9% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, URBN appears fairly valued at the current price of $76.64. The base case fair value of $62.20 implies 18.8% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.