Universal Technical Institute, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-64.2% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-59.3% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-11.6% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-11.45 | -143.8% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $11.39 | -56.4% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $51.09 | 95.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $9.18 | -64.9% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $27.01 | 3.3% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $9.87 | -62.3% | High (70%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, UTI appears overvalued at the current price of $26.15. The base case fair value of $10.63 implies 59.3% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.