Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-74.0% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-52.5% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-22.3% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $129.02 | 8.0% | High (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $5.44 | -95.4% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $56.73 | -52.5% | Medium (20%) |
Based on 3 out of 8 methods, VAC appears overvalued at the current price of $119.47. The base case fair value of $56.73 implies 52.5% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.