Vale S.A.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-36.9% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-31.8% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
15.9% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $9.54 | -30.6% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $8.50 | -38.2% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $9.22 | -32.9% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $21.95 | 59.7% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $18.08 | 31.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $7.97 | -42.1% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, VALE appears fairly valued at the current price of $13.75. The base case fair value of $9.38 implies 31.8% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.