Invesco California Value Municipal Income Trust
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-42.5% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-34.5% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-16.7% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $6.18 | -41.3% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $7.62 | -27.7% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $5.64 | -46.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $12.22 | 16.0% | High (80%) |
Based on 4 out of 8 methods, VCV appears overvalued at the current price of $10.53. The base case fair value of $6.90 implies 34.5% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.