Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-62.7% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-10.5% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
28.8% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $3.12 | -95.7% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $92.95 | 28.8% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $297.69 | 312.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $64.60 | -10.5% | Medium (40%) |
| EV/FCF | $26.95 | -62.6% | Medium (20%) |
Based on 5 out of 8 methods, VIST appears fairly valued at the current price of $72.16. The base case fair value of $64.60 implies 10.5% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.