Valero Energy Corporation
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-36.7% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-24.7% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
24.3% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $476.89 | 37.4% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $296.03 | -14.7% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $204.09 | -41.2% | Medium (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $217.44 | -37.4% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $653.14 | 88.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $226.54 | -34.8% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, VLO appears fairly valued at the current price of $347.19. The base case fair value of $261.28 implies 24.7% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.