Valley National Bancorp
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-43.8% vs price
Base Case (Median)
16.3% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
40.2% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-9.97 | -166.8% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $14.51 | -2.8% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $23.13 | 54.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $20.22 | 35.3% | High (80%) |
Based on 4 out of 8 methods, VLY appears fairly valued at the current price of $14.94. The base case fair value of $17.37 implies 16.3% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.