Vulcan Materials Company
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-65.9% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-52.1% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-45.0% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $18.78 | -93.2% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $150.22 | -46.0% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $133.31 | -52.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $111.03 | -60.1% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $194.65 | -30.0% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $155.71 | -44.0% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $78.68 | -71.7% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, VMC appears overvalued at the current price of $278.15. The base case fair value of $133.31 implies 52.1% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.