Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
Vistra Corp.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-67.8% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-55.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-41.6% vs price
◇ = Current price | | Bear | Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE Comparable | $89.02 | -37.4% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $37.48 | -73.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $44.93 | -68.4% | Medium (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $78.06 | -45.1% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $84.65 | -40.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $48.26 | -66.1% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 7 methods, VST appears overvalued at the current price of $142.15. The base case fair value of $63.16 implies 55.6% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.