Ventas, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-94.2% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-85.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-54.5% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-77.32 | -184.8% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $8.03 | -91.2% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $4.40 | -95.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $18.29 | -79.9% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $49.19 | -46.1% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $70.55 | -22.6% | Medium (20%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, VTR appears overvalued at the current price of $91.19. The base case fair value of $13.16 implies 85.6% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.