Waste Connections, Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-54.2% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-46.2% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-36.5% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $88.71 | -46.2% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $79.91 | -51.6% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $91.83 | -44.3% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $54.68 | -66.9% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $117.64 | -28.7% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $142.03 | -13.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $71.36 | -56.8% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, WCN appears overvalued at the current price of $165.01. The base case fair value of $88.71 implies 46.2% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.