Workday, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-84.6% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-72.9% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-43.6% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $5.43 | -97.2% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $81.12 | -57.6% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $134.66 | -29.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $46.38 | -75.7% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $51.90 | -72.9% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $227.50 | 19.0% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $12.62 | -93.4% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, WDAY appears overvalued at the current price of $191.18. The base case fair value of $51.90 implies 72.9% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.