Wingstop Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-61.6% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-26.2% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-11.1% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-46.48 | -140.2% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $79.01 | -31.7% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $380.81 | 229.1% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $106.54 | -7.9% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $91.87 | -20.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $32.92 | -71.5% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, WING appears overvalued at the current price of $115.72. The base case fair value of $85.44 implies 26.2% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.