Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
ADVANCED DRAINAGE SYSTEMS, INC.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-53.0% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-38.4% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-28.1% vs price
◇ = Current price | | Bear | Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $78.34 | -38.4% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $102.59 | -19.4% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $63.49 | -50.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $56.25 | -55.8% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $80.42 | -36.8% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $122.57 | -3.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $54.95 | -56.8% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 7 methods, WMS appears overvalued at the current price of $127.27. The base case fair value of $78.34 implies 38.4% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.