Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-61.2% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-26.8% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-24.3% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $42.02 | -71.6% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $112.02 | -24.3% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $108.33 | -26.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $56.88 | -61.6% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $112.12 | -24.2% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $141.39 | -4.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $57.96 | -60.8% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, WMS appears overvalued at the current price of $147.98. The base case fair value of $108.33 implies 26.8% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.