Watsco, Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-50.9% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-44.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-31.0% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $106.77 | -65.8% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $224.05 | -28.2% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $172.87 | -44.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $138.28 | -55.7% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $206.18 | -33.9% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $368.35 | 18.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $168.00 | -46.1% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, WSO appears overvalued at the current price of $311.86. The base case fair value of $172.87 implies 44.6% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.