Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
218.1% vs price
Base Case (Median)
921.3% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
3100.6% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $26.45 | 199.2% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $676.07 | 7547.8% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $151.89 | 1618.2% | Low (10%) |
| EV/FCF | $28.67 | 224.4% | Medium (20%) |
Based on 4 out of 8 methods, YMM appears undervalued at the current price of $8.84. The base case fair value of $90.28 implies 921.3% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.