The Progressive Corporation (PGR)
Pre-earnings consensus targets and post-earnings beat/miss — standardized metrics from the earnings calendar. No narrative, no price targets.
Pre-earnings
Consensus targets for the next print, plus how the business has been running.
Next report
Oct 8, 2026
Consensus estimate row
EPS target
$3.67
Street estimate
Revenue target
$22.67B
Street estimate
Trailing EPS (avg 4Q)
$4.59
Beat rate last 4: 50%
Latest EPS YoY
-0.6%
vs 2025-07-16
Latest revenue YoY
+5.0%
How results look so far
Trailing revenue (avg 4Q)
$21.40B
Printed quarters
EPS beat rate (4Q)
50%
Share of quarters that beat EPS est.
Post-earnings
Did the company hit the target? Actual vs estimate and surprise.
Last print
Jul 15, 2026
EPS beat
EPS actual / est
$4.85 / $4.64
+4.5%
Revenue actual / est
$21.08B / $19.49B
+8.2%
Result
Target reached
Based on EPS vs consensus
Earnings history
Estimate vs actual and surprise % by print date
| Date | EPS est | EPS act | EPS surprise | Rev est | Rev act | Rev surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/21/2026upcoming | $3.59 | Pending | — | $22.55B | Pending | — |
| 10/14/2026upcoming | $3.64 | Pending | — | $22.23B | Pending | — |
| 10/8/2026upcoming | $3.67 | Pending | — | $22.67B | Pending | — |
| 7/15/2026 | $4.64 | $4.85 | +4.5% | $19.49B | $21.08B | +8.2% |
| 4/15/2026 | $4.85 | $4.81 | -0.8% | $22.98B | $23.64B | +2.9% |
| 1/28/2026 | $4.44 | $4.67 | +5.2% | $20.30B | $19.51B | -3.9% |
| 10/15/2025 | $4.99 | $4.05 | -18.8% | $21.80B | $21.38B | -1.9% |
| 7/16/2025 | $4.43 | $4.88 | +10.2% | $20.46B | $20.08B | -1.9% |
| 4/16/2025 | $4.79 | $4.65 | -2.9% | $21.47B | $22.21B | +3.4% |
| 1/29/2025 | $3.57 | $4.08 | +14.3% | $18.30B | $18.11B | -1.1% |
| 10/15/2024 | $3.69 | $3.58 | -3.0% | $19.02B | $19.46B | +2.3% |
| 7/16/2024 | $2.05 | $2.65 | +29.3% | $17.58B | $17.90B | +1.8% |
| 5/15/2024 | $3.21 | $3.73 | +16.2% | $17.34B | $17.24B | -0.6% |
| 1/24/2024 | $2.38 | $2.96 | +24.4% | $14.90B | $15.13B | +1.5% |
| 10/13/2023 | $1.71 | $2.09 | +22.2% | $15.40B | $15.59B | +1.3% |
| 7/13/2023 | $0.88 | $0.50 | -43.2% | $15.02B | $14.72B | -2.0% |
| 4/13/2023 | $1.37 | $0.65 | -52.6% | $15.35B | $16.11B | +4.9% |
| 1/25/2023 | $1.43 | $1.50 | +4.9% | $12.74B | $12.46B | -2.2% |
| 10/13/2022 | $1.04 | $0.49 | -52.9% | $13.29B | $13.02B | -2.0% |
| 7/15/2022 | $0.95 | $0.95 | 0.0% | $12.47B | $11.51B | -7.7% |
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