Analog Devices, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-82.9% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-75.3% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-57.1% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $39.26 | -90.5% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $168.74 | -59.1% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $289.98 | -29.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $101.77 | -75.3% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $101.72 | -75.3% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $184.68 | -55.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $39.58 | -90.4% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, ADI appears overvalued at the current price of $412.13. The base case fair value of $101.77 implies 75.3% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.