Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from SEC filings.
AerCap Holdings N.V.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-34.6% vs price
Base Case (Median)
20.5% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
64.2% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $94.49 | -34.6% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $410.83 | 184.3% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $237.21 | 64.2% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $174.09 | 20.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $59.20 | -59.0% | High (70%) |
Based on 5 out of 8 methods, AER appears fairly valued at the current price of $144.50. The base case fair value of $174.09 implies 20.5% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.