Fair value · American Balanced Fund F-3 (AFMBX) · updated 2026-09-12 · from 10-K FY2023
American Balanced Fund F-3 trades at $41.07. That price implies a P/E of 11.8× and 19.9% yearly EPS growth for a decade.
Previous close (2026-08-25)
Are those assumptions reasonable? Use AFMBX’s filed growth history and the AI chat to decide, then set your own inputs below — the range you build is yours.
What the price implies
- P/E
- 11.8×
- EPS growth
- 19.9%
price ÷ trailing EPS
per year for 10 years, discounted at 10%
Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings. This price: Previous close (2026-08-25).
With preset inputs the methods land at $45 – $105 (presets are filed history and our reference settings, not a recommendation)
How each method got its number
Bear, base and bull are the 25th, 50th and 75th percentile of the methods that produced a usable estimate. Weights say how much a method is trusted for this sector; they do not change the range.
| Method | Estimate | vs price | Weight | Why this method |
|---|---|---|---|---|
P/E vs sector Medium weight Trailing diluted EPS times the sector median P/E. What the stock would be worth if the market priced it like an average peer. | $42 | +2% | Medium weight | Trailing diluted EPS times the sector median P/E. What the stock would be worth if the market priced it like an average peer. |
Graham Number High weight Benjamin Graham’s 1949 rule of thumb: √(22.5 × EPS × book value). It punishes asset-light companies, so it reads low for big tech. | $48 | +16% | High weight | Benjamin Graham’s 1949 rule of thumb: √(22.5 × EPS × book value). It punishes asset-light companies, so it reads low for big tech. |
Growth-trajectory DCF Medium weight A two-stage DCF that grows earnings at the company’s own EPS trend, then fades to the industry’s long-run rate. Two-stage DCF using weighted EPS CAGR and industry median terminal rate | $163 | +297% | Medium weight | A two-stage DCF that grows earnings at the company’s own EPS trend, then fades to the industry’s long-run rate. |
DCF High weight Projects free cash flow for the coming years and discounts it back to today. The most complete method, and the most sensitive to the growth and discount-rate assumptions. estimate at or below $0, or more than 4× away from the price | Not meaningful for this company | High weight | Projects free cash flow for the coming years and discounts it back to today. The most complete method, and the most sensitive to the growth and discount-rate assumptions. | |
P/B vs sector High weight Sector median price-to-book times book value per share. Works for banks and asset-heavy businesses, says little about software. Sector P/B benchmark unavailable | No estimate | High weight | Sector median price-to-book times book value per share. Works for banks and asset-heavy businesses, says little about software. | |
EV/EBITDA Medium weight Values the whole business at 10× EBITDA and divides by the share count. A mid-cycle industrial multiple; fast growers trade far above it. Not applicable for financial companies | No estimate | Medium weight | Values the whole business at 10× EBITDA and divides by the share count. A mid-cycle industrial multiple; fast growers trade far above it. | |
EV/FCF Medium weight 20× free cash flow per share, i.e. a 5% cash yield. Reads low for companies the market expects to keep growing. Not applicable for financial companies | No estimate | Medium weight | 20× free cash flow per share, i.e. a 5% cash yield. Reads low for companies the market expects to keep growing. | |
Earnings Power Value Low weight Greenwald’s Earnings Power Value: what current earnings are worth if they never grow. Everything above it is what you pay for growth. Not applicable for financial/REIT companies | No estimate | Low weight | Greenwald’s Earnings Power Value: what current earnings are worth if they never grow. Everything above it is what you pay for growth. | |
What this means
- A range of $45 to $105 means the methods disagree by more than 2×. They measure different things — cash the business earns today versus growth the market expects tomorrow — so treat the range as a rough guide, not a target.
- The base case, $48, is the median of the 3 methods with data. It assumes American Balanced Fund F-3’s current margins, cash generation and share count persist; it does not price in a new product cycle, a recession or a buyback surge.
- The number moves when the filings move. The next 10-Q replaces the oldest quarter in the trailing-twelve-month EPS and cash-flow inputs; the last one (Q4 FY2023) was filed 2024-01-31. The price changes every day; the fair value only changes with the filings.
The filing behind these numbers
American Balanced Fund F-3- Revenue
- $833.4M
- Diluted EPS
- $3.47
- Free cash flow
- $90.3M
- operating cash flow − capital expenditure
- Diluted shares
- 17.6M
- weighted average
10-K FY2023 · fiscal year ended 2024-01-31 · filed 2024-01-31
Trailing-twelve-month EPS also uses the quarterly 10-Qs through Q4 FY2023 (filed 2024-01-31).
Open the 10-K list on sec.govCIK 4568Need AFMBX data in your own agent or pipeline?
The valuation data behind this page — DCF fair value, margin of safety, PE vs industry, analyst estimates — is also available programmatically through the EvidInvest MCP server & financial data API for Claude, Cursor, or any MCP client and HTTP pipeline.