High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Fair Value Range
Bear Case (25th pct.)
$4.90
-37.3% vs price
Base Case (Median)
$8.56
9.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
$12.23
56.6% vs price
$4.90$8.56$12.23
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
Method Breakdown
Method
Est. Value
vs Price
Weight
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
$1.23
-84.3%
High (40%)
EV/EBITDA
$15.90
103.6%
Medium (20%)
Interpretation
Based on 2 out of 8 methods, AGEN appears fairly valued at the current price of $7.81. The base case fair value of $8.56 implies 9.6% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.