Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
Air Lease Corporation
High uncertainty: The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-8.5% vs price
Base Case (Median)
31.7% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
83.2% vs price
◇ = Current price | | Bear | Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE Comparable | $141.96 | 118.4% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $111.46 | 71.5% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $59.69 | -8.2% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $58.88 | -9.4% | Medium (20%) |
Based on 4 out of 7 methods, AL appears fairly valued at the current price of $65.00. The base case fair value of $85.58 implies 31.7% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.