Allianz SE
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-37.8% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-27.1% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-19.7% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $200.01 | -59.4% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $375.93 | -23.6% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $452.85 | -8.0% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $341.27 | -30.7% | High (80%) |
Based on 4 out of 8 methods, ALIZF appears overvalued at the current price of $492.18. The base case fair value of $358.60 implies 27.1% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.