Allianz SE
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-38.5% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-27.5% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-5.3% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $19.82 | -59.6% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $37.50 | -23.5% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $73.10 | 49.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $33.56 | -31.5% | High (80%) |
Based on 4 out of 8 methods, ALIZY appears overvalued at the current price of $49.01. The base case fair value of $35.53 implies 27.5% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.