High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Fair Value Range
Bear Case (25th pct.)
$4.69
-83.8% vs price
Base Case (Median)
$7.52
-74.1% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
$16.86
-41.8% vs price
$4.69$7.52$16.86
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
Method Breakdown
Method
Est. Value
vs Price
Weight
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
$1.87
-93.5%
High (40%)
EV/EBITDA
$7.52
-74.1%
Medium (20%)
EV/FCF
$26.19
-9.6%
Medium (20%)
Interpretation
Based on 3 out of 8 methods, ALOT appears overvalued at the current price of $28.99. The base case fair value of $7.52 implies 74.1% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.
