Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from SEC filings.
AMAZON COM INC
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-61.2% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-42.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-12.1% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE Comparable | $234.15 | -12.1% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $373.10 | 40.0% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $103.32 | -61.2% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $153.02 | -42.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $54.13 | -79.7% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 5 out of 8 methods, AMZN appears overvalued at the current price of $266.43. The base case fair value of $153.02 implies 42.6% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.
