Amazon.com, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-77.2% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-51.4% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-37.1% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-6.84 | -102.8% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $155.86 | -37.0% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $266.27 | 7.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $85.18 | -65.6% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $155.16 | -37.3% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $46.93 | -81.0% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, AMZN appears overvalued at the current price of $247.49. The base case fair value of $120.17 implies 51.4% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.