Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-39.4% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-6.9% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
4.9% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $15.22 | -73.9% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $54.31 | -6.9% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $58.47 | 0.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $32.04 | -45.1% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $63.96 | 9.6% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $70.29 | 20.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $38.66 | -33.7% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, ANCTF appears fairly valued at the current price of $58.35. The base case fair value of $54.31 implies 6.9% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.